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How many copies did Rail Route sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 65k–105k
$444k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $807k–$1.8M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Rail Route out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rail Route's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.6M–10.0M
best case 18.7M (Cities: Skylines)
Games like Rail Route

The middle of these games

≈ 4.6M–10.0M copies

≈ $50.0M–$151.3M after Steam's cut

from ~170k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Cities: Skylines at ≈ 14.2M–23.1M copies, ≈ $117.4M–$315.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Building (6 of 8) and Sandbox (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Simulation, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Oxygen Not Included
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.4M–$76.4M after Steam's cut $51.7M–$117.5M before the cut
$24.99
144k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
Stellaris
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$112.6M–$302.8M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.8M before the cut
$49.99
197k reviews
Very Positive
Factorio
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.8M–9.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$55.8M–$150.2M after Steam's cut $101.5M–$231.0M before the cut
$35.00
234k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationBase-Building
RimWorld
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$71.8M–$193.1M after Steam's cut $130.6M–$297.1M before the cut
$34.99
246k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
House Flipper
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.3M–$62.6M after Steam's cut $42.3M–$96.3M before the cut
$24.99
111k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDesign & Illustration
Kenshi
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.3M before the cut
$29.99
116k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldSandbox
Dyson Sphere Program
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.6M after Steam's cut $22.7M–$51.6M before the cut
$19.99
92k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationSpace
Cities: Skylines
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$117.4M–$315.8M after Steam's cut $213.5M–$485.8M before the cut
$29.99
292k reviews
Very Positive

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