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How many copies did Shiren the Wanderer: The Tower of Fortune and the Dice of Fate sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 23k–38k
$129k–$346k after Steam's cut $234k–$533k before the cut
from 945 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Shiren the Wanderer: The Tower of Fortune and the Dice of Fate out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shiren the Wanderer: The Tower of Fortune and the Dice of Fate's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 57k–99k
best case 1.7M (Crypt of the NecroDancer)
Games like Shiren the Wanderer: The Tower of Fortune and the Dice of Fate

The middle of these games

≈ 57k–99k copies

≈ $297k–$568k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Crypt of the NecroDancer at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 828 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 316 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Rogue-like (7 of 8) and Dungeon Crawler (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Female Protagonist, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Rhythm + Great Soundtrack + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.