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How many copies did PEPPERED: an existential platformer sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 17k–28k
$72k–$193k after Steam's cut $130k–$296k before the cut
from 701 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left PEPPERED: an existential platformer out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including PEPPERED: an existential platformer's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.9M–10.0M
best case 21.7M (Undertale)
Games like PEPPERED: an existential platformer

The middle of these games

≈ 6.9M–10.0M copies

≈ $53.4M–$96.7M after Steam's cut

from ~261k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Precision Platformer (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Undertale at ≈ 16.5M–26.8M copies, ≈ $45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 511 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 31 to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Precision Platformer (4 of 8) and Story Rich (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.4M–$187.6M before the cut
$9.99
338k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Detroit: Become Human
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$71.2M–$191.3M after Steam's cut $129.4M–$294.4M before the cut
$39.99
261k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut $44.5M–$101.2M before the cut
$19.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.9M–$77.8M after Steam's cut $52.6M–$119.7M before the cut
$19.99
108k reviews
Very Positive
StealthOpen World
Hades
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$52.5M–$141.0M after Steam's cut $95.4M–$217.0M before the cut
$24.99
308k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Hans
2023
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$27k–$73k after Steam's cut $49k–$112k before the cut
$4.99
795 reviews
Very Positive
99 Fails Lite
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
65 reviews
Very Positive
Precision PlatformerSide Scroller
Driving Is Hard
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before the cut
$6.99
264 reviews
Very Positive

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