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How many copies did CaveFiction sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before the cut
from 61 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left CaveFiction out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CaveFiction's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 798–77k
best case 726k (Milk outside a bag of milk outside a bag of milk)
Games like CaveFiction

The middle of these games

≈ 798–77k copies

≈ $315–$652k after Steam's cut

from ~39 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Milk outside a bag of milk outside a bag of milk at ≈ 553k–898k copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 13 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 3 to 2k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Point & Click (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Visual Novel, priced around $9.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Critters for Sale
2021
Est. copies
≈ 47k–77k
49x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$129k–$348k after Steam's cut $235k–$535k before the cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SurrealGore
Milk outside a bag of milk outside a bag of milk
2021
Est. copies
≈ 553k–898k
579x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before the cut
$8.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AI: THE SOMNIUM FILES - nirvanA Initiative
2022
Est. copies
≈ 93k–152k
98x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before the cut
$39.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelMystery
Neuro Horror
2022
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$183–$490 after Steam's cut $332–$754 before the cut
$0.99
27 reviews
Mixed
CasualVisual Novel
Adventures in the Light & Dark
2018
Est. copies
≈ 122–198
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$67–$179 after Steam's cut $121–$276 before the cut
$1.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
CasualIndie
Nott Longa
2021
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$885–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
$4.99
26 reviews
Positive
AdventureAlternate History
Hellfire 1988: An Oregon Story
2022
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$135–$363 after Steam's cut $246–$559 before the cut
$0.99
20 reviews
Positive
Visual NovelAdventure
Magnus Positive Phototaxis
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before the cut
$4.99
50 reviews
Very Positive
HorrorEscape Room

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