How many copies did Mabinogi sell?

265k to 431k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Mabinogi make?

Mabinogi is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Mabinogi?

Estimated owners: ≈ 265k–431k; from 4k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Mabinogi out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mabinogi's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.0M–14.8M

best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Mabinogi

The middle of these games

≈ 9.0M–14.8M copies

≈ $85.0M after Steam's cut

from ~302k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Battle Royale (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Battle Royale (3 of 8) and Co-op (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Third-Person Shooter + Survival + Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 94.5M–153.6M 9.1x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.7M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.2M–15.0M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	268k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
Z1 Battle Royale 2018	Est. copies ≈ 6.2M–10.0M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	202k reviews Mixed	SurvivalMassively Multiplayer
World of Warships 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.4M–8.7M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	156k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayNaval Combat
Bloons TD 6 2018	Est. copies ≈ 12.0M–19.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.1M–$124.0M after Steam's cut $83.8M–$190.7M before the cut	$13.99	394k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tower DefenseStrategy
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	302k reviews Mostly Positive	Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Brawlhalla 2017	Est. copies ≈ 14.2M–23.0M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	411k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer
Paladins® 2018	Est. copies ≈ 10.5M–17.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	345k reviews Very Positive	Hero ShooterFree to Play