How much revenue did ShovelBear make?

$41–$110 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did ShovelBear sell?

Q: How many copies did ShovelBear sell?

74 to 121 copies, based on its 3 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 74–121; $41–$110 after Steam's cut $74–$169 before the cut; from 3 reviews (3 user reviews); Thin evidence: 3 reviews. That range swings on one or two people, so read it as a hint, not a measurement.

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left ShovelBear out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ShovelBear's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–5k

best case 7k (Decline's Drops)

Games like ShovelBear

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–5k copies

≈ $6k–$31k after Steam's cut

from ~110 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

None of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Decline's Drops at ≈ 6k–9k copies, ≈ $23k–$62k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 53 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 12 to 108.

Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on 2D Fighter (6 of 8) and 2D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with 2D Platformer + Beat 'em up, priced around $15.
The era: The games you compared span 2018 to 2024, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Santhai 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $12k–$33k after Steam's cut $22k–$50k before the cut	$12.99	137 reviews Very Positive	AdventureRPG
Decline's Drops 2024	Est. copies ≈ 6k–9k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$95k before the cut	$14.99	224 reviews Very Positive	2D PlatformerBeat 'em up
Blade Jumper 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before the cut	$6.99	57 reviews Very Positive	AdventurePlatformer
Galactic Thunderdome 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before the cut	$9.99	59 reviews Very Positive	Action2D Fighter
Domiverse 2018	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	83 reviews Very Positive	ActionLocal Multiplayer
Sword of Destiny 2020	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $999–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut	$0.99	148 reviews Very Positive	Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer
Happenlance 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before the cut	$19.99	49 reviews Positive	PhysicsDifficult
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