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How many copies did The Beekeeper's Picnic - A Sherlockian Adventure sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–20k
$47k–$127k after Steam's cut $86k–$196k before the cut
from 497 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Beekeeper's Picnic - A Sherlockian Adventure out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Beekeeper's Picnic - A Sherlockian Adventure's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 121k–413k
best case 1.4M (Return of the Obra Dinn)
Games like The Beekeeper's Picnic - A Sherlockian Adventure

The middle of these games

≈ 121k–413k copies

≈ $789k–$3.6M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Return of the Obra Dinn at ≈ 1.1M–1.7M copies, ≈ $5.9M–$15.7M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 89 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Detective (8 of 8) and Mystery (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Mystery, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sherlock Holmes: Crimes and Punishments
2014
Est. copies
≈ 447k–726k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before the cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveAdventure
The Case of the Golden Idol
2022
Est. copies
≈ 271k–440k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before the cut
$17.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MysteryDetective
Return of the Obra Dinn
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
6.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.7M after Steam's cut $10.6M–$24.2M before the cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveMystery
The Rewinder
2021
Est. copies
≈ 183k–297k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$753k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before the cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureMystery
Aviary Attorney
2015
Est. copies
≈ 111k–180k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$457k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $832k–$1.9M before the cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAdventure
Daemonologie
2024
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$62k before the cut
$2.99
731 reviews
Very Positive
HorrorChoices Matter
Draugen
2019
Est. copies
≈ 62k–100k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$339k–$911k after Steam's cut $616k–$1.4M before the cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Story RichMystery
The Rise of the Golden Idol
2024
Est. copies
≈ 102k–166k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$562k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before the cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryInvestigation

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