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How many copies did Lucky Hero sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before the cut
from 112 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Lucky Hero out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lucky Hero's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 240k–407k
best case 8.2M (Slay the Spire)
Games like Lucky Hero

The middle of these games

≈ 240k–407k copies

≈ $1.6M–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.2M copies, ≈ $43.1M–$116.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Rogue-like (8 of 8) and Roguelike Deckbuilder (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Card Game; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2019 to 2025, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.2M
25x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.1M–$116.0M after Steam's cut $78.4M–$178.5M before the cut
$24.99
218k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4.9M–8.0M
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.2M–$54.4M after Steam's cut $36.8M–$83.7M before the cut
$14.99
198k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles
2023
Est. copies
≈ 112k–182k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$769k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before the cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Dicey Dungeons
2019
Est. copies
≈ 340k–553k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before the cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Battler
9 Kings
2025
Est. copies
≈ 570k–926k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$13.0M before the cut
$19.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRogue-like
Wildfrost
2023
Est. copies
≈ 219k–356k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before the cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerDifficult
Backpack Hero
2023
Est. copies
≈ 211k–342k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before the cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Replay ValueTurn-Based
Shogun Showdown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174k–282k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$716k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before the cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Replay ValueStrategy RPG

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