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How many copies did Denizen's Den - Deeper Edition sell?

Too new to estimate
Games in its genre land ≈ 171k–236k That is what its genre does, not a prediction for this game.
No reviews yet, so there is nothing to estimate from. That is not the same as selling nothing.
Does this actually work?

We left Denizen's Den - Deeper Edition out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Denizen's Den - Deeper Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 171k–236k
best case 443k (Cultivation Tales)
Games like Denizen's Den - Deeper Edition

The middle of these games

≈ 171k–236k copies

≈ $1.3M–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Cultivation Tales at ≈ 338k–549k copies, ≈ $1.9M–$5.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 273 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action Roguelike (6 of 8) and Rogue-lite (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + FPS, priced around $16. The breakout hits carry Survival + 2D Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
5 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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CRPGAction Roguelike

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