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How many copies did Slenderman: Shadow of the Forest sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 645–1k
$885–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
from 26 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Slenderman: Shadow of the Forest out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Slenderman: Shadow of the Forest's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.6M–5.7M
best case 16.6M (Lethal Company)
Games like Slenderman: Shadow of the Forest

The middle of these games

≈ 4.6M–5.7M copies

≈ $52.9M–$69.1M after Steam's cut

from ~138k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Lethal Company at ≈ 12.7M–20.6M copies, ≈ $34.8M–$93.5M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 35k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 4k to 45k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (8 of 8) and Horror (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Online Co-Op + Exploration + Funny; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Lethal Company
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12.7M–20.6M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.8M–$93.5M after Steam's cut $63.2M–$143.9M before the cut
$9.99
511k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
Outlast
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.0M–$96.9M after Steam's cut $65.5M–$149.1M before the cut
$14.99
138k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorFirst-Person
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.9M–$64.1M after Steam's cut $43.4M–$98.7M before the cut
$19.99
126k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Alien: Isolation
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.0M–$110.1M after Steam's cut $74.5M–$169.4M before the cut
$39.99
66k reviews
Very Positive
The Outlast Trials
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.3M–$81.5M after Steam's cut $55.1M–$125.3M before the cut
$39.99
111k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Poppy Playtime
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
142k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFree to Play
Resident Evil Village
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.8M–$112.3M after Steam's cut $76.0M–$172.8M before the cut
$39.99
153k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Five Nights at Freddy's: Security Breach
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$19.1M–$51.3M after Steam's cut $34.7M–$78.9M before the cut
$39.99
70k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorSingleplayer

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