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How many copies did Lycoris sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347–564
$953–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
from 14 reviews (Mostly Negative)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Lycoris out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lycoris's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–5.5M
best case 9.8M (NARAKA: BLADEPOINT)
Games like Lycoris

The middle of these games

≈ 3.2M–5.5M copies

≈ $16.4M–$66.5M after Steam's cut

from ~95k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: NARAKA: BLADEPOINT at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 26k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 9k to 46k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Character Customization (5 of 8) and Anime (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Martial Arts.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.8M before the cut
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MMORPGMassively Multiplayer
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
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≈ 7.1M–11.5M
2.2x vs typical
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DRAGON BALL Z: KAKAROT
2020
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≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$7.9M–$21.3M after Steam's cut $14.4M–$32.8M before the cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
ActionRPG
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds
2018
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≈ 2.7M–4.3M
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Free
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TEKKEN 7
2017
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≈ 3.3M–5.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$36.1M–$97.0M after Steam's cut $65.6M–$149.2M before the cut
$39.99
95k reviews
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FightingAction
MONSTER HUNTER RISE
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$34.3M–$92.3M after Steam's cut $62.4M–$142.0M before the cut
$39.99
126k reviews
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ActionHunting
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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Free
Free
302k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Eternal Return
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Mostly Positive
Free to PlayAnime

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