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How many copies did Medieval: Total War™ - Collection sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 120k–195k
$329k–$885k after Steam's cut $598k–$1.4M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Medieval: Total War™ - Collection out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Medieval: Total War™ - Collection's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 484k–2.6M
best case 2.2M (Total War: SHOGUN 2)
Games like Medieval: Total War™ - Collection

The middle of these games

≈ 484k–2.6M copies

≈ $9.2M–$41.9M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Total War: SHOGUN 2 at ≈ 1.7M–2.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Turn-Based Strategy (8 of 8) and Grand Strategy (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Historical + Turn-Based Strategy.
The era
The games you compared span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of your 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Total War: SHOGUN 2
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
68k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Inkulinati
2024
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$206k–$555k after Steam's cut $375k–$854k before the cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalTurn-Based Strategy
Total War: MEDIEVAL II – Definitive Edition
2006
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.8M–$42.5M after Steam's cut $28.7M–$65.3M before the cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyMedieval
Total War: SHOGUN 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–6.9M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$35.2M–$94.8M after Steam's cut $64.1M–$145.8M before the cut
$29.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Age of Conquest IV
2016
Est. copies
≈ 117k–191k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
Rome: Total War™ - Collection
2007
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
17k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Total War: ATTILA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.7M–$61.1M after Steam's cut $41.3M–$94.0M before the cut
$44.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
A Total War Saga: THRONES OF BRITANNIA
2018
Est. copies
≈ 452k–735k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.6M before the cut
$39.99
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyHistorical

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