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How many copies did Phantom Doctrine sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 143k–232k
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before the cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Phantom Doctrine out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Phantom Doctrine's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 371k–911k
best case 819k (Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden)
Games like Phantom Doctrine

The middle of these games

≈ 371k–911k copies

≈ $3.0M–$9.7M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Turn-Based Tactics (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden at ≈ 624k–1.0M copies, ≈ $6.0M–$16.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Turn-Based Tactics (4 of 8) and Stealth (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $35.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Bureau: XCOM Declassified
2013
Est. copies
≈ 764k–1.2M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.4M before the cut
$19.99
12k reviews
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ActionTactical
Xenonauts
2014
Est. copies
≈ 284k–461k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.1M before the cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based StrategyTurn-Based Tactics
Invisible, Inc.
2015
Est. copies
≈ 282k–458k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before the cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkDifficult
Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden
2018
Est. copies
≈ 624k–1.0M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.1M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.8M before the cut
$34.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRPG
Steam Link
2015
Est. copies
≈ 360k–584k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Free
Free
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Steam MachineSoftware
METAL GEAR SOLID V: GROUND ZEROES
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.6M–$15.0M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.1M before the cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAction
METAL GEAR SOLID 3: Snake Eater - Master Collection Version
2023
Est. copies
≈ 171k–278k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$941k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before the cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAction-Adventure
DUST - Post Apocalyptic RPG
2022
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$300–$804 after Steam's cut $545–$1k before the cut
$3.99
11 reviews
Positive
ExplorationTactical RPG

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