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How many copies did Evergarden sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 23k–38k
$64k–$173k after Steam's cut $117k–$266k before the cut
from 769 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Evergarden out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Evergarden's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–7.1M
best case 12.1M (Hogwarts Legacy)
Games like Evergarden

The middle of these games

≈ 3.2M–7.1M copies

≈ $37.4M–$99.1M after Steam's cut

from ~131k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Hogwarts Legacy at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $152.1M–$408.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 43k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 5k to 171k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Exploration (5 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Magic + Open World, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hogwarts Legacy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$152.1M–$408.9M after Steam's cut $276.5M–$629.1M before the cut
$59.99
372k reviews
Very Positive
MagicOpen World
The Talos Principle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.0M after Steam's cut $27.7M–$63.1M before the cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePhilosophical
Stray
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.3M–$97.6M after Steam's cut $66.0M–$150.1M before the cut
$29.99
177k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsAdventure
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.4M–$149.0M after Steam's cut $100.7M–$229.2M before the cut
$39.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.4M–$79.0M after Steam's cut $53.4M–$121.5M before the cut
$39.99
88k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
Atomic Heart
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$21.0M–$56.3M after Steam's cut $38.1M–$86.7M before the cut
$59.99
51k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentFPS
Rise of the Tomb Raider™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$53.2M–$143.0M after Steam's cut $96.7M–$220.1M before the cut
$29.99
155k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
Outer Wilds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.2M–$48.9M after Steam's cut $33.1M–$75.3M before the cut
$24.99
107k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationSpace

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