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How many copies did Lonely Mountains: Downhill sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 89k–144k
$487k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $886k–$2.0M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Lonely Mountains: Downhill out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lonely Mountains: Downhill's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 23k–528k
best case 1.4M (MX Bikes)
Games like Lonely Mountains: Downhill

The middle of these games

≈ 23k–528k copies

≈ $345k–$6.9M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: MX Bikes at ≈ 1.1M–1.7M copies, ≈ $10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 195 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 187 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Racing (6 of 8) and Sports (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Motocross + Motorbike, priced around $35.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

MX Bikes
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.3M before the cut
$34.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
MotocrossMotorbike
Descenders
2019
Est. copies
≈ 687k–1.1M
8.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.5M before the cut
$24.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
SportsRacing
Pro Cycling Manager 2021
2021
Est. copies
≈ 16k–25k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$171k–$459k after Steam's cut $310k–$706k before the cut
$39.99
626 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationMultiplayer
Pro Cycling Manager 2022
2022
Est. copies
≈ 18k–28k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$193k–$518k after Steam's cut $351k–$798k before the cut
$39.99
707 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationMultiplayer
RIDE 4
2020
Est. copies
≈ 307k–499k
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$14.0M before the cut
$39.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
RacingMotorbike
Trials Evolution: Gold Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 154k–250k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$845k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before the cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingAction
Trials 2: Second Edition
2008
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$48k–$130k after Steam's cut $88k–$200k before the cut
$9.99
279 reviews
Very Positive
RacingIndie
Trials® Rising
2019
Est. copies
≈ 90k–147k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$496k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $901k–$2.1M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mixed
RacingBikes

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