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How many copies did Genesis Noir sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 56k–91k
$232k–$623k after Steam's cut $421k–$959k before the cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Genesis Noir out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Genesis Noir's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.8M–3.9M
best case 4.9M (Disco Elysium - The Final Cut)
Games like Genesis Noir

The middle of these games

≈ 2.8M–3.9M copies

≈ $18.6M–$44.7M after Steam's cut

from ~52k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Disco Elysium - The Final Cut at ≈ 3.8M–6.1M copies, ≈ $41.3M–$111.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (7 of 8) and Detective (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Katana ZERO
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.2M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.3M before the cut
$14.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsAction
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.3M–$111.1M after Steam's cut $75.1M–$170.9M before the cut
$39.99
130k reviews
Very Positive
Return of the Obra Dinn
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.7M after Steam's cut $10.6M–$24.2M before the cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveMystery
Skullgirls 2nd Encore
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.0M–$37.7M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$58.0M before the cut
$24.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
Fighting2D Fighter
The Wolf Among Us
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.1M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.2M before the cut
$14.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureDetective
Max Payne 3
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.3M–$59.9M after Steam's cut $40.5M–$92.1M before the cut
$19.99
64k reviews
Very Positive
ActionThird-Person Shooter
Mafia: Definitive Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$30.1M–$80.8M after Steam's cut $54.6M–$124.3M before the cut
$39.99
110k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldCrime
L.A. Noire
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before the cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveCrime

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