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How many copies did CryoFall sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 160k–261k
$881k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left CryoFall out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CryoFall's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11k–77k
best case 938k (Necesse)
Games like CryoFall

The middle of these games

≈ 11k–77k copies

≈ $60k–$893k after Steam's cut

from ~942 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is City Builder (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Necesse at ≈ 715k–1.2M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 388 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 119 to 22k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on City Builder (4 of 8) and Colony Sim (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Open World, priced around $15.
The era
4 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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