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How many copies did Prison Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 63k–102k
$345k–$927k after Steam's cut $627k–$1.4M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Prison Simulator out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Prison Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 25k–3.7M
best case 55.9M (PAYDAY 2)
Games like Prison Simulator

The middle of these games

≈ 25k–3.7M copies

≈ $1.5M–$62.3M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.6M–69.2M copies, ≈ $117.1M–$314.7M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 13k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 159 to 153k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (7 of 8) and Crime (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.6M–69.2M
33x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.1M–$314.7M after Steam's cut $212.8M–$484.2M before the cut
$9.99
674k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction
NBA 2K19
2018
Est. copies
≈ 686k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
23k reviews
Mostly Negative
SportsBasketball
Schedule I
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$42.9M–$115.2M after Steam's cut $77.9M–$177.3M before the cut
$19.99
314k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Police Shootout
2022
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$53k–$143k after Steam's cut $96k–$219k before the cut
$14.99
519 reviews
Mixed
Turn-Based CombatVillain Protagonist
Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator
2023
Est. copies
≈ 462k–751k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before the cut
$24.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureDriving
Thief Simulator
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.6M–$17.8M after Steam's cut $12.0M–$27.4M before the cut
$19.99
40k reviews
Very Positive
Major\Minor
2015
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
424 reviews
Mostly Positive
Visual NovelCrime
Bike Rush
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before the cut
$4.99
81 reviews
Mixed
RacingAction

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