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How many copies did ALTF4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 268k–435k
$220k–$592k after Steam's cut $401k–$911k before the cut
from 11k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left ALTF4 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ALTF4's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–2k
best case 155k (Orbt XL)
Games like ALTF4

The middle of these games

≈ 1k–2k copies

≈ $473–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~50 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Orbt XL at ≈ 118k–192k copies, ≈ $32k–$86k after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 30 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 8 to 430.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Runner (6 of 8) and 3D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Comedy + Fantasy, priced around $4. The breakout hits carry Fantasy + Funny + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2024, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 20k–50k
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$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before the cut
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Massively MultiplayerParkour
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11x vs typical
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ComedyFantasy
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≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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Free
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3D PlatformerAction
Run Pizza Run
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before the cut
$4.99
102 reviews
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SimulationComedy
Keep Up
2023
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
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Est. revenue
$149–$400 after Steam's cut $270–$615 before the cut
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SingleplayerRunner
Race To Sanity
2021
Est. copies
≈ 942–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$256–$690 after Steam's cut $466–$1k before the cut
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CasualRacing
Orbt XL
2017
Est. copies
≈ 118k–192k
69x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$133k before the cut
$0.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ArcadeDifficult

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