How much revenue did Arx Fatalis make?

$228k–$614k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Arx Fatalis sell?

Q: How many copies did Arx Fatalis sell?

166k to 270k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 166k–270k; $228k–$614k after Steam's cut $415k–$945k before the cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Arx Fatalis out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arx Fatalis's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 137k–319k

best case 978k (Dark Messiah of Might & Magic)

Games like Arx Fatalis

The middle of these games

≈ 137k–319k copies

≈ $551k–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Dark Messiah of Might & Magic at ≈ 745k–1.2M copies, ≈ $2.0M–$5.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on First-Person (5 of 8) and Classic (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with First-Person + Fantasy, priced around $10.
The era: The games you compared span 2006 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Thief Gold (1999) 2012	Est. copies ≈ 264k–429k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $507k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $922k–$2.1M before the cut	$6.99	4k reviews Very Positive	StealthClassic
Heretic: Shadow of the Serpent Riders 2007	Est. copies ≈ 74k–120k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	1k reviews Very Positive	ClassicFPS
Thief: Deadly Shadows 2007	Est. copies ≈ 165k–267k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $407k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $740k–$1.7M before the cut	$8.99	3k reviews Very Positive	StealthAtmospheric
Dark Messiah of Might & Magic 2006	Est. copies ≈ 745k–1.2M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.5M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.5M before the cut	$9.99	12k reviews Very Positive	RPGFirst-Person
AMID EVIL 2019	Est. copies ≈ 222k–361k 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before the cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Old SchoolBoomer Shooter
Dark Messiah of Might & Magic 2006	Est. copies ≈ 5k–9k too small to compare SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15k–$39k after Steam's cut $27k–$60k before the cut	$9.99	84 reviews Very Positive	RPGFirst-Person
Thief II: The Metal Age 2012	Est. copies ≈ 134k–219k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $259k–$695k after Steam's cut $470k–$1.1M before the cut	$6.99	2k reviews Very Positive	StealthClassic
Hedon Bloodrite 2019	Est. copies ≈ 56k–91k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $263k–$707k after Steam's cut $478k–$1.1M before the cut	$16.99	2k reviews Very Positive	FPSRetro