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How many copies did Brawl Tactics: Origins sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 992–2k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before the cut
from 40 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Brawl Tactics: Origins out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Brawl Tactics: Origins's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 151k–496k
best case 746k (Monster Train)
Games like Brawl Tactics: Origins

The middle of these games

≈ 151k–496k copies

≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Monster Train at ≈ 569k–924k copies, ≈ $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 12k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Deckbuilding (7 of 8) and Rogue-like (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Battler + Rogue-lite, priced around $25.
The era
Only 3 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 569k–924k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before the cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles
2023
Est. copies
≈ 112k–182k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$769k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before the cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Griftlands
2021
Est. copies
≈ 359k–583k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before the cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Tainted Grail: Conquest
2021
Est. copies
≈ 207k–337k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before the cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
DeckbuildingCard Game
HELLCARD
2024
Est. copies
≈ 116k–188k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$795k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before the cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Peglin
2024
Est. copies
≈ 437k–711k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$9.9M before the cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Shogun Showdown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174k–282k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$716k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before the cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Replay ValueStrategy RPG
Roguebook
2021
Est. copies
≈ 113k–184k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$776k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before the cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RPGIndie

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.