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How many copies did Sneak Thief sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 47k–77k
$195k–$523k after Steam's cut $354k–$805k before the cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Sneak Thief out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sneak Thief's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–3.5M
best case 55.9M (PAYDAY 2)
Games like Sneak Thief

The middle of these games

≈ 1.2M–3.5M copies

≈ $9.6M–$29.0M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.6M–69.2M copies, ≈ $117.1M–$314.7M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 47 to 39k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Stealth (7 of 8) and Heist (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dishonored 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.9M–$61.5M after Steam's cut $41.6M–$94.7M before the cut
$29.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
StealthFirst-Person
Perfect Heist 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 117k–190k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$321k–$864k after Steam's cut $584k–$1.3M before the cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ActionStealth
PAYDAY 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.4M–$35.9M after Steam's cut $24.3M–$55.2M before the cut
$29.99
65k reviews
Mixed
HeistCo-op
PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.6M–69.2M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.1M–$314.7M after Steam's cut $212.8M–$484.2M before the cut
$9.99
674k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction
Thief Simulator
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.6M–$17.8M after Steam's cut $12.0M–$27.4M before the cut
$19.99
40k reviews
Very Positive
Thief Simulator 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 167k–271k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$915k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before the cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
PAYDAY™ The Heist
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.1M–$19.1M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.4M before the cut
$9.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
Thief
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.6M before the cut
$19.99
24k reviews
Mostly Positive
StealthAction

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