How much revenue did Aliens vs. Predator™ make?

$5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Aliens vs. Predator™ sell?

Q: How many copies did Aliens vs. Predator™ sell?

1.4M to 2.2M copies, based on its 22k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.4M–2.2M; $5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.2M before the cut; from 22k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Aliens vs. Predator™ out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Aliens vs. Predator™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.6M–3.4M

best case 23.1M (Half-Life 2)

Games like Aliens vs. Predator™

The middle of these games

≈ 2.6M–3.4M copies

≈ $40.2M–$63.8M after Steam's cut

from ~48k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Half-Life 2 at ≈ 17.6M–28.6M copies, ≈ $48.3M–$130.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on First-Person (7 of 8) and FPS (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Sci-fi, priced around $20.
The era: The games you compared span 2004 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Black Mesa 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.8M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $19.7M–$53.0M after Steam's cut $35.8M–$81.5M before the cut	$19.99	145k reviews Very Positive	FPSRemake
Half-Life 2 2004	Est. copies ≈ 17.6M–28.6M 5.8x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $48.3M–$130.0M after Steam's cut $87.9M–$200.0M before the cut	$9.99	278k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction
Half-Life 2: Episode One 2006	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	31k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction
Half-Life 2: Episode Two 2007	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	41k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction
Prey 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before the cut	$29.99	54k reviews Very Positive	Sci-fiImmersive Sim
Alien: Isolation 2014	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $41.0M–$110.1M after Steam's cut $74.5M–$169.4M before the cut	$39.99	66k reviews Very Positive	Horror Survival Horror
Halo: The Master Chief Collection 2019	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.3M 5.4x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $83.0M–$223.2M after Steam's cut $150.9M–$343.3M before the cut	$39.99	262k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackFPS
Evolve Stage 2 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	48k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionMultiplayer