How much revenue did The Greatest Penguin Heist of All Time make?

$299k–$804k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Greatest Penguin Heist of All Time sell?

Q: How many copies did The Greatest Penguin Heist of All Time sell?

73k to 118k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 73k–118k; $299k–$804k after Steam's cut $544k–$1.2M before the cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Greatest Penguin Heist of All Time out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Greatest Penguin Heist of All Time's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–4.0M

best case 104.7M (Garry's Mod)

Games like The Greatest Penguin Heist of All Time

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–4.0M copies

≈ $13.2M–$135.8M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Garry's Mod at ≈ 79.8M–129.6M copies, ≈ $219.1M–$589.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Sandbox (5 of 8) and Physics (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sandbox + Moddable, priced around $10.
The era: The games you compared span 2006 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Garry's Mod 2006	Est. copies ≈ 79.8M–129.6M 62x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $219.1M–$589.2M after Steam's cut $398.4M–$906.5M before the cut	$9.99	1.3M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxModdable
People Playground 2019	Est. copies ≈ 9.1M–14.9M 16x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's cut $45.7M–$103.9M before the cut	$9.99	317k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxGore
Just Cause 4 Reloaded 2018	Est. copies ≈ 980k–1.6M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	32k reviews Mixed	Open WorldAction
Dead Rising 4 2017	Est. copies ≈ 289k–470k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.9M before the cut	$29.99	8k reviews Mixed	ZombiesOpen World
Two Point Hospital 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.8M–$23.6M after Steam's cut $15.9M–$36.2M before the cut	$29.99	35k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Management
Public Enemy: Revolution Simulator 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	76 reviews Very Positive	ActionStealth
Dubbing Time 2020	Est. copies ≈ 50–81 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2 reviews 2 user reviews	Simulation Immersive Sim
The Van of Justice 2021	Est. copies ≈ 496–806 SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	20 reviews Positive	ActionPhysics